day 66
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tiny beans conquer world 3: anti-heroes
Yesterday we saw how Java has spread throughout the "Wired World" with the same frenzy as
chocolate spread throughout the "old world"
centuries ago.
The anti-Microsoft forces are so intent on
going around Microsoft's flank that they will
grab anything that sounds like it might
displace Microsoft from its lock-in monopoly of
the desktop. These anti-heroes are hoping that
Java's neutrality will be just what is needed
to render Wintel inconsequential.
Even Microsoft feels this heat. In a classical
move to deflect the Java onslaught for a few
months while it gets its Internet strategy in
place, Microsoft licensed Java and elevated it
to the same level as its Visual BASIC. Still
running scared, Microsoft began licensing BASIC
to third party developers, hoping to stall Java
for a few more months. Next, Microsoft will be
throwing corporate ballast over the edge of
Lake Washington, to make itself lighter and
faster as it puffs to catch the Java wave.
While Microsoft is trying to absorb Java into
ActiveX, Sun and the anti-Microsoft forces are
trying to absorb ActiveX into their Java-based
products. A recent want-ad from Sun reads,
"JavaBeans Software Engineer: Create a set of
component APIs that will be revolutionary in
their functionality and openness. Significant
experience with OLE/COM, OCX, and [Microsoft
OLE] automation development required." Heh,
heh.
Regardless of the inadequacies of Java, and the
hurried patches that Sun keeps throwing at us,
Java is not just another language as some
writers have tried to convince us nerds. But,
so what? Languages are dead anyhow. The
battlefront has shifted to middleware
standards. Middleware is the next Wired World
platform. Why?
Maybe middleware isn't a revenue fire engine
running to a software company's rescue, but it
is the tail that wags the dog (see Figure 1,
tomorrow). According to Input Research, the US
market for software that supports ActiveX,
CORBA, OpenDoc, and eventually, Java Beans is
$14 billion this year, and will loom to $25
billion next year.
The name of the computer biz game is
"distributed processing," and middleware is the
software equivalent of the routers, switches,
and hubs that go into the Internet. If you want
to be a Big Wheel in Wired World, you have to
dominate middleware standards. Microsoft cannot
afford to be riding training wheels when it
comes to pushing ActiveX ahead of Java Beans.
So, Microsoft did a clever thing -- it renamed
OLE to ActiveX, turned up the PR machinery, and
absorbed Java.
tiny beans conquer world 1
2
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