day 66




tiny beans conquer world 3: anti-heroes

Yesterday we saw how Java has spread throughout

the "Wired World" with the same frenzy as

chocolate spread throughout the "old world"

centuries ago.

The anti-Microsoft forces are so intent on

going around Microsoft's flank that they will

grab anything that sounds like it might

displace Microsoft from its lock-in monopoly of

the desktop. These anti-heroes are hoping that

Java's neutrality will be just what is needed

to render Wintel inconsequential.

Even Microsoft feels this heat. In a classical

move to deflect the Java onslaught for a few

months while it gets its Internet strategy in

place, Microsoft licensed Java and elevated it

to the same level as its Visual BASIC. Still

running scared, Microsoft began licensing BASIC

to third party developers, hoping to stall Java

for a few more months. Next, Microsoft will be

throwing corporate ballast over the edge of

Lake Washington, to make itself lighter and

faster as it puffs to catch the Java wave.

While Microsoft is trying to absorb Java into

ActiveX, Sun and the anti-Microsoft forces are

trying to absorb ActiveX into their Java-based

products. A recent want-ad from Sun reads,

"JavaBeans Software Engineer: Create a set of

component APIs that will be revolutionary in

their functionality and openness. Significant

experience with OLE/COM, OCX, and [Microsoft

OLE] automation development required." Heh,

heh.

Regardless of the inadequacies of Java, and the

hurried patches that Sun keeps throwing at us,

Java is not just another language as some

writers have tried to convince us nerds. But,

so what? Languages are dead anyhow. The

battlefront has shifted to middleware

standards. Middleware is the next Wired World

platform. Why?

Maybe middleware isn't a revenue fire engine

running to a software company's rescue, but it

is the tail that wags the dog (see Figure 1,

tomorrow). According to Input Research, the US

market for software that supports ActiveX,

CORBA, OpenDoc, and eventually, Java Beans is

$14 billion this year, and will loom to $25

billion next year.

The name of the computer biz game is

"distributed processing," and middleware is the

software equivalent of the routers, switches,

and hubs that go into the Internet. If you want

to be a Big Wheel in Wired World, you have to

dominate middleware standards. Microsoft cannot

afford to be riding training wheels when it

comes to pushing ActiveX ahead of Java Beans.

So, Microsoft did a clever thing -- it renamed

OLE to ActiveX, turned up the PR machinery, and

absorbed Java.

tiny beans conquer world 1 2



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