day 67
![]()
tiny beans conquer world 4: chocol-holics
Figure 1. Revenue forecasts for component
technology, and leading standards, CORBA,
OpenDoc, and ActiveX.Yesterday we saw how the future lies with
middleware.
Third party ActiveX developers will earn $180
million selling 2,500 reusable components to
Wintel addicts, see Figure 1 (Input, Inc.,
Datamation, July 1996, p. 62). OpenDoc
parts vendors will make $20 million. I am not
sure of the numbers for CORBA vendors, but my
guess is that they are on the verge of filing
bankruptcy or else doing other products. Java,
and its component technology called Java Beans,
probably generated more than $200 million for
advertisers alone. Another $500 million is
probably going up in smoke in the form of
venture capitalists investing in silly little
JavaSoft spin-outs like Marimba or high-risk
money pits like Dimension X.
Don't get me wrong. Like Ada, "OpenDoc is a
better solution," according to Dan Kara of
Software Productivity Group (Westboro,
MA). OpenDoc parts let developers build
middleware for all major platforms, and it works
with OLE, er, oops, ActiveX. If you are going to
develop for Wintel, why not use OpenDoc and
enjoy its extra benefits, too? OpenDoc is a
better ActiveX, than ActiveX. So what?
tiny beans conquer world 1
2
3
Daily Dose Index